The extraordinary growth and
transformation of the Internet is unprecedented, but what does the future of
technology hold, and where is the Internet heading? Business executives,
technologists, and policymakers are not only asking these questions—they also
are looking for a map of the future that will help them assess changes in the
Internet, and possible out-comes and implications of those changes for
business, national policy, and regulation.
Recent research by Cisco IBSG has identified 10 major technology trends that we believe
are shaping the direction of the Internet today and, most certainly, will
change its direction in the future.
1. A world gone mobile
2. Cloud: a new way of delivering technology
3. Everything can be delivered over-the-top
4. Big data: the new oil
5. A global village: connecting the unconnected
6. Powerful devices: the world in the palm of your hand
7. Bring your own device: the consumerization of IT
8. The Internet of Things is already here
9. The New Mobile
10. Converged networks: a new platform architecture
IBSG has developed a plausible scenario for how these 10 disruptive technology trends might come together to shape the future of the Internet. We call this the “New Digital Explosion.” Why “new”? Changes in devices, networks, applications, delivery models, user behaviors, and mobility will create a step change in demand for and reliance on the Internet.
The New Digital Explosion is not just
about technology; it covers all aspects of consumers, the ICT industry, and
global/national economies. One thing is certain: the New Digital Explosion will
change the ICT industry, impacting all players across the ICT value chain: There
will be greater competition, redefined value chains/business models, and new
strategies, resulting in both new challenges and business opportunities. And
the role of government will need to evolve to create an environment that
encourages business and technology innovation, and investment and competition
to the greater benefit of their societies.
Cisco’s IBSG’s recent white paper The Next Generation of the Internet provides details on the 10 major
technology trends, maps out the future of the Internet and discusses the
implications and opportunities for Internet businesses and governments in this
new hyper-connected world.